Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 1992 ⟷ COSMOS 1570
HighProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 1992NORAD 19769 · launched Jan 1989Military payload
1.06kmPredicted miss distance
RussiaCOSMOS 1570NORAD 15031 · launched Jun 1984Military payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 18 min before the pass.
Closest approach21 Oct 202605:50 UTC
Relative speed5.33 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude767 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed21 Oct05:32 UTC · final forecast
Track COSMOS 1992Track COSMOS 1570All approaches
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RU COSMOS 1992 and RU COSMOS 1570 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 1.06 km at 2026-10-21 05:50 UTC, at a relative speed of 5.33 km/s. Final forecast, made 18 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 1992Payload
NORAD 19769
CountryCIS
Launched1989-01-26
OrbitLEO · 756 × 788 km
COSPAR1989-005A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
COSMOS 1570Payload
NORAD 15031
CountryCIS
Launched1984-06-08
OrbitLEO · 774 × 791 km
COSPAR1984-056A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 767 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 767 km this pass sits inside the most congested band in low Earth orbit, home to the debris left by the 2007 ASAT test and the 2009 collision. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 1992 ⟷ COSMOS 1570
2026-10-21 05:501.06 km Final forecast5.33 km/s767 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
21 Oct 03:52 UTC1.06 km Forecast21 Oct 05:50 UTC20 Oct 22:42 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 21:52 UTC1.02 km Forecast21 Oct 05:50 UTC20 Oct 07:47 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 21:32 UTC4.74 km Forecast21 Oct 05:50 UTC20 Oct 07:47 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.48 km10-23 06:15 UTC
COSMOS 1992CZ-6A DEB
2.24 km10-23 01:56 UTC
COSMOS 1992FENGYUN 1C DEB
2.92 km10-18 03:41 UTC
COSMOS 1992NOAA 16 DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 1992 ⟷ COSMOS 1570: 1.06 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/15031-19769 (accessed 2026-10-23).