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RU COSMOS 2194RU COSMOS 1691 DEB
5.29 kmpredicted miss distance
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 16 min before the pass.
After the passBest estimate, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 5.11 km at 20 Oct 20:08 UTC.
Predicted closest approach
2026-10-20 20:08 UTC
Relative speed
5.49 km/s
Altitude
1,452 km
Last confirmed
20 Oct 19:52 UTC
Track COSMOS 2194 →Track COSMOS 1691 DEB →All approaches →
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RU COSMOS 2194 and RU COSMOS 1691 DEB were predicted to reach a closest approach of 5.29 km at 2026-10-20 20:08 UTC, at a relative speed of 5.49 km/s. Final forecast, made 16 min before the pass. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 5.11 km at 20 Oct 20:08 UTC. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2194Payload
NORAD 21983
CountryCIS
Launched1992-06-03
OrbitLEO · 1,458 × 1,484 km
COSPAR1992-030H
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
COSMOS 1691 DEBDebris
NORAD 16268
CountryCIS
Launched1985-10-09
OrbitLEO · 1,371 × 1,502 km
COSPAR1985-094M
Maneuver capableNo
Uncontrolled debris fragment tracked by the public catalogue. About space debris →
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1452 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1452 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2194 ⟷ COSMOS 1691 DEB
2026-10-20 20:085.29 km Final forecast5.49 km/s1,452 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
22 Oct 20:22 UTC5.11 km Best estimate20 Oct 20:08 UTC20 Oct 21:37 UTCBest estimate
20 Oct 15:22 UTC5.29 km Forecast20 Oct 20:08 UTC20 Oct 03:13 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 15:02 UTC7.28 km Forecast20 Oct 20:08 UTC20 Oct 03:13 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
3.50 km10-23 16:27 UTC
COSMOS 2194THORAD DELTA 1 DEB
5.73 km10-21 08:39 UTC
COSMOS 2194ITOS 1 (TIROS M)
6.42 km10-22 03:48 UTC
COSMOS 2194THORAD DELTA 1 DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2194 ⟷ COSMOS 1691 DEB: 5.29 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/16268-21983 (accessed 2026-10-23).