Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2532 ⟷ COSMOS 1854
MediumProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 2532NORAD 43753 · launched Nov 2018Military payload
5.69kmPredicted miss distance
RussiaCOSMOS 1854NORAD 18115 · launched Jun 1987Military payload
Live forecastConfirmed by the latest screening, 21 Oct 21:05 UTC.
Closest approach22 Oct 202613:17 UTC
Relative speed4.04 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,473 kmlow Earth orbit
Separation now—live
Track COSMOS 2532Track COSMOS 1854All approaches
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RU COSMOS 2532 and RU COSMOS 1854 are predicted to reach a closest approach of 5.69 km at 2026-10-22 13:17 UTC, at a relative speed of 4.04 km/s. Confirmed by the latest screening, 21 Oct 21:05 UTC. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2532Payload
NORAD 43753
CountryCIS
Launched2018-11-30
OrbitLEO · 1,480 × 1,508 km
COSPAR2018-097C
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
COSMOS 1854Payload
NORAD 18115
CountryCIS
Launched1987-06-16
OrbitLEO · 1,458 × 1,481 km
COSPAR1987-051C
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1473 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1473 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2532 ⟷ COSMOS 1854
2026-10-22 13:175.69 km Live forecast4.04 km/s1,473 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
21 Oct 20:04 UTC5.69 km Forecast22 Oct 13:17 UTC21 Oct 07:44 UTCRe-check
21 Oct 19:45 UTC6.78 km Forecast22 Oct 13:17 UTC21 Oct 07:44 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
2.81 km10-20 18:58 UTC
COSMOS 2192COSMOS 1854
5.88 km10-21 04:27 UTC
COSMOS 2532THOR ABLESTAR DEB
6.84 km10-22 16:23 UTC
COSMOS 2532COSMOS 832

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2532 ⟷ COSMOS 1854: 5.69 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/18115-43753 (accessed 2026-10-21).