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RU COSMOS 2195RU SL-8 R/B
8.43 kmpredicted miss distance
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 17 min before the pass.
After the passBest estimate, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 8.41 km at 20 Oct 15:19 UTC.
Predicted closest approach
2026-10-20 15:19 UTC
Relative speed
14.56 km/s
Altitude
978 km
Last confirmed
20 Oct 15:02 UTC
Track COSMOS 2195 →Track SL-8 R/B →All approaches →
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RU COSMOS 2195 and RU SL-8 R/B were predicted to reach a closest approach of 8.43 km at 2026-10-20 15:19 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.56 km/s. Final forecast, made 17 min before the pass. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 8.41 km at 20 Oct 15:19 UTC. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2195Payload
NORAD 22006
CountryCIS
Launched1992-07-01
OrbitLEO · 955 × 1,007 km
COSPAR1992-036A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
SL-8 R/BR/B
NORAD 22308
CountryCIS
Launched1993-01-12
OrbitLEO · 960 × 996 km
COSPAR1993-001B
Maneuver capableNo
Spent rocket stage: uncontrolled, tracked by the public catalogue.
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 978 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 978 km this pass sits inside the most congested band in low Earth orbit, home to the debris left by the 2007 ASAT test and the 2009 collision. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

4 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2195 ⟷ SL-8 R/B
2026-10-20 20:343.55 km Final forecast14.56 km/s978 kmView →
2026-10-20 18:491.34 km Final forecast14.56 km/s978 kmView →
2026-10-20 17:044.62 km Final forecast14.56 km/s978 kmView →
2026-10-20 15:198.43 km Final forecast14.56 km/s978 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
22 Oct 15:22 UTC8.41 km Best estimate20 Oct 15:19 UTC20 Oct 20:22 UTCBest estimate
20 Oct 15:02 UTC8.43 km Forecast20 Oct 15:19 UTC20 Oct 02:16 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 14:44 UTC8.92 km Forecast20 Oct 15:19 UTC20 Oct 02:16 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.59 km10-23 10:02 UTC
COSMOS 2195SDA_1673
4.08 km10-20 10:24 UTC
COSMOS 2195SL-8 R/B
6.37 km10-17 02:09 UTC
COSMOS 2195SL-16 DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2195 ⟷ SL-8 R/B: 8.43 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/22006-22308 (accessed 2026-10-22).