Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›YAOGAN 2 ⟷ YAOGAN 30
HighProximity
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 14 min before the pass.
Closest approach25 Oct 202614:20 UTC
Relative speed14.93 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude635 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed25 Oct14:06 UTC · final forecast

CN YAOGAN 2 and CN YAOGAN 30 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 2.61 km at 2026-10-25 14:20 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.93 km/s. Final forecast, made 14 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
YAOGAN 2Payload
NORAD 31490
CountryPRC
Launched2007-05-25
COSPAR2007-019A
Maneuver capableUnknown
YAOGAN 30Payload
NORAD 41473
CountryPRC
Launched2016-05-15
COSPAR2016-029A
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 635 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 635 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · YAOGAN 2 ⟷ YAOGAN 30
2026-10-25 14:202.61 km Final forecast14.93 km/s635 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
25 Oct 14:06 UTC2.61 km Forecast25 Oct 14:20 UTC24 Oct 08:13 UTCRe-check
25 Oct 13:46 UTC9.30 km Forecast25 Oct 14:20 UTC24 Oct 08:13 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.89 km10-21 14:26 UTC
YAOGAN 2NOAA 16 DEB
1.92 km10-22 19:13 UTC
YAOGAN 2COSMOS 2251 DEB
2.95 km10-26 08:35 UTC
YAOGAN 30FENGYUN 1C DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “YAOGAN 2 ⟷ YAOGAN 30: 2.61 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/31490-41473 (accessed 2026-10-25).