Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2614 ⟷ STARLINK-35688
high · CROSS-BORDER
6.22 kmpredicted miss distance
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 5 min before the pass.
Predicted closest approach
2026-10-21 01:37 UTC
Relative speed
15.07 km/s
Altitude
Last confirmed
21 Oct 01:32 UTC
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RU COSMOS 2614 and US STARLINK-35688 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 6.22 km at 2026-10-21 01:37 UTC, at a relative speed of 15.07 km/s. Final forecast, made 5 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 68764
CountryCIS
Launched2026-04-16
COSPAR2026-083K
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 67019
CountryUS
Launched2025-12-10
COSPAR2025-293S
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 548 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 548 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

2 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2614 ⟷ STARLINK-35688
2026-10-21 02:254.84 km Final forecast15.06 km/s549 kmView →
2026-10-21 01:376.22 km Final forecast15.07 km/s548 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
20 Oct 21:52 UTC6.22 km Forecast21 Oct 01:37 UTC20 Oct 16:32 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 15:52 UTC6.26 km Forecast21 Oct 01:37 UTC20 Oct 11:07 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 12:32 UTC6.38 km Forecast21 Oct 01:37 UTC20 Oct 09:17 UTCRe-check
20 Oct 12:13 UTC6.29 km Forecast21 Oct 01:37 UTC20 Oct 03:47 UTCRe-check

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
2.92 km10-21 16:44 UTC
COSMOS 2614STARLINK-36192
4.31 km10-21 02:55 UTC
COSMOS 2614ICEYE-X36
5.22 km10-14 08:13 UTC
COSMOS 2614STARLINK-34697

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2614 ⟷ STARLINK-35688: 6.22 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/67019-68764 (accessed 2026-10-21).