Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›ELEMENT-1 ⟷ ICEYE-X85
HighProximity
United StatesELEMENT-1NORAD 100901 · launched Oct 2026Payload
1.32kmPredicted miss distance
EuropeICEYE-X85NORAD 100914 · launched Oct 2026Payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 20 min before the pass.
After the passBest estimate, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 714 m at 25 Oct 19:37 UTC.
Closest approach25 Oct 202620:00 UTC
Drift speed0.6 m/s2 km/h, seen from ICEYE-X85
Altitude504 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed25 Oct19:41 UTC · final forecast
Track ELEMENT-1Track ICEYE-X85All approaches
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US ELEMENT-1 and NETH ICEYE-X85 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 1.32 km at 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC, drifting past at about 0.6 m/s (2 km/h) as seen from ICEYE-X85. Final forecast, made 20 min before the pass. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 714 m at 25 Oct 19:37 UTC. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
ELEMENT-1Payload
NORAD 100901
CountryUS
Launched2026-10-01
OrbitLEO · 510 × 514 km
COSPAR2026-227U
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
ICEYE-X85Payload
NORAD 100914
CountryNETH
Launched2026-10-01
OrbitLEO · 510 × 515 km
COSPAR2026-227AH
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 504 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 504 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

6 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · ELEMENT-1 ⟷ ICEYE-X85
2026-10-25 21:366.17 km Final forecast0.01 km/s504 kmView →
2026-10-25 20:445.13 km Final forecast0.01 km/s522 kmView →
2026-10-25 20:001.32 km Final forecast0.00 km/s504 kmShown above
2026-10-25 19:091.07 km Final forecast0.00 km/s522 kmView →
2026-10-25 18:013.04 km Final forecast0.00 km/s512 kmView →
2026-10-25 16:257.84 km Final forecast0.01 km/s512 kmView →

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
28 Oct 14:35 UTC714 m Best estimate25 Oct 19:37 UTC25 Oct 22:41 UTCBest estimate
25 Oct 19:21 UTC1.32 km Forecast25 Oct 20:00 UTC24 Oct 07:08 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.05 km10-27 15:17 UTC
ELEMENT-1ICEYE-X86
1.12 km10-28 11:04 UTC
ELEMENT-1OBJECT AF
1.21 km10-27 14:26 UTC
ELEMENT-1ICEYE-X86

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “ELEMENT-1 ⟷ ICEYE-X85: 1.32 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/100901-100914 (accessed 2026-10-31).