Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2582 ⟷ PELICAN-12
MediumProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 2582NORAD 62903 · launched Feb 2025Military payload
6.36kmPredicted miss distance
TBDPELICAN-12NORAD 101128 · launched Oct 2026Payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 12 min before the pass.
After the passBest estimate, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 9.65 km at 25 Oct 10:11 UTC.
Closest approach25 Oct 202610:11 UTC
Relative speed3.79 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude591 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed25 Oct09:59 UTC · final forecast
Track COSMOS 2582Track PELICAN-12All approaches
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RU COSMOS 2582 and TBD PELICAN-12 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 6.36 km at 2026-10-25 10:11 UTC, at a relative speed of 3.79 km/s. Final forecast, made 12 min before the pass. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 9.65 km at 25 Oct 10:11 UTC. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2582Payload
NORAD 62903
CountryCIS
Launched2025-02-05
OrbitLEO · 575 × 588 km
COSPAR2025-026B
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
PELICAN-12Payload
NORAD 101128
CountryTBD
Launched2026-10-20
OrbitLEO · 585 × 594 km
COSPAR2026-237T
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 591 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 591 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2582 ⟷ PELICAN-12
2026-10-25 10:116.36 km Final forecast3.79 km/s591 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
27 Oct 22:03 UTC9.65 km Best estimate25 Oct 10:11 UTC26 Oct 17:30 UTCBest estimate
25 Oct 09:59 UTC6.36 km Forecast25 Oct 10:11 UTC25 Oct 04:45 UTCRe-check
25 Oct 09:10 UTC6.32 km Forecast25 Oct 10:11 UTC25 Oct 02:44 UTCRe-check
25 Oct 08:51 UTC6.71 km Forecast25 Oct 10:11 UTC25 Oct 02:44 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
468 m10-24 10:04 UTC
COSMOS 2582OBJECT AB
1.48 km10-24 10:30 UTC
COSMOS 2582NOVASAR 1
2.63 km10-26 02:58 UTC
COSMOS 2582COSMOS 2535 DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2582 ⟷ PELICAN-12: 6.36 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/101128-62903 (accessed 2026-10-29).