Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2248 ⟷ COSMOS 1232
HighProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 2248NORAD 22649 · launched May 1993Military payload
4.66kmPredicted miss distance
RussiaCOSMOS 1232NORAD 12111 · launched Dec 1980Military payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 17 min before the pass.
Closest approach2 Nov 202609:51 UTC
Relative speed3.30 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,418 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed2 Nov09:34 UTC · final forecast
Track COSMOS 2248Track COSMOS 1232All approaches
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RU COSMOS 2248 and RU COSMOS 1232 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 4.66 km at 2026-11-02 09:51 UTC, at a relative speed of 3.30 km/s. Final forecast, made 17 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2248Payload
NORAD 22649
CountryCIS
Launched1993-05-11
OrbitLEO · 1,401 × 1,416 km
COSPAR1993-030D
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
COSMOS 1232Payload
NORAD 12111
CountryCIS
Launched1980-12-23
OrbitLEO · 1,412 × 1,464 km
COSPAR1980-102E
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1418 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1418 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2248 ⟷ COSMOS 1232
2026-11-02 09:514.66 km Final forecast3.30 km/s1,418 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
2 Nov 09:14 UTC4.66 km Forecast2 Nov 09:51 UTC2 Nov 03:34 UTCRe-check
2 Nov 03:27 UTC4.70 km Forecast2 Nov 09:51 UTC1 Nov 10:29 UTCRe-check
1 Nov 18:48 UTC4.68 km Forecast2 Nov 09:51 UTC1 Nov 05:56 UTCRe-check
1 Nov 18:19 UTC4.70 km Forecast2 Nov 09:51 UTC1 Nov 04:14 UTCRe-check
1 Nov 17:59 UTC5.29 km Forecast2 Nov 09:51 UTC1 Nov 04:14 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
2.14 km10-28 20:59 UTC
COSMOS 2168COSMOS 1232
3.61 km10-27 06:38 UTC
COSMOS 2248OPS 6630 DEB
5.35 km10-27 10:25 UTC
COSMOS 2248COSMOS 1832

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2248 ⟷ COSMOS 1232: 4.66 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/12111-22649 (accessed 2026-11-02).