Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2123 ⟷ COSMOS 2407
HighProximity
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 16 min before the pass.
Closest approach28 Oct 202616:31 UTC
Relative speed10.98 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude995 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed28 Oct16:15 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2123 and RU COSMOS 2407 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 1.15 km at 2026-10-28 16:31 UTC, at a relative speed of 10.98 km/s. Final forecast, made 16 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 21089
CountryCIS
Launched1991-02-05
COSPAR1991-007A
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 28380
CountryCIS
Launched2004-07-22
COSPAR2004-028A
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 995 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 995 km this pass sits inside the most congested band in low Earth orbit, home to the debris left by the 2007 ASAT test and the 2009 collision. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2123 ⟷ COSMOS 2407
2026-10-28 16:311.15 km Final forecast10.98 km/s995 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
28 Oct 12:35 UTC1.15 km Forecast28 Oct 16:31 UTC27 Oct 22:55 UTCRe-check
28 Oct 12:15 UTC6.19 km Forecast28 Oct 16:31 UTC27 Oct 22:55 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
769 m10-26 01:29 UTC
COSMOS 2407COSMOS 1275 DEB
1.91 km10-28 01:11 UTC
COSMOS 2407P 76-5
2.50 km10-23 02:12 UTC
COSMOS 2123COSMOS 1375 DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “COSMOS 2123 ⟷ COSMOS 2407: 1.15 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/21089-28380 (accessed 2026-10-28).