Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›HOKUSHIN1 ⟷ STARLINK-1913
HighCross-border
Live forecastConfirmed by the latest screening, 1 Nov 17:41 UTC.
Closest approach2 Nov 202607:58 UTC
Relative speed6.21 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude405 kmlow Earth orbit
Separation now—live

RU HOKUSHIN1 and US STARLINK-1913 are predicted to reach a closest approach of 6.89 km at 2026-11-02 07:58 UTC, at a relative speed of 6.21 km/s. Confirmed by the latest screening, 1 Nov 17:41 UTC. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
HOKUSHIN1Payload
NORAD 69648
CountryCIS
Launched1998-11-20
COSPAR1998-067YJ
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 47179
CountryUS
Launched2020-11-25
COSPAR2020-088BK
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 405 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 405 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

2 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · HOKUSHIN1 ⟷ STARLINK-1913
2026-11-02 08:443.55 km Live forecast6.23 km/s390 kmView →
2026-11-02 07:586.89 km Live forecast6.21 km/s405 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
1 Nov 17:40 UTC6.89 km Forecast2 Nov 07:58 UTC1 Nov 09:58 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
6.54 km10-27 03:31 UTC
HOKUSHIN1STARLINK-1265
8.45 km10-27 22:00 UTC
HOKUSHIN1SKYSAT-C4
8.86 km10-30 08:11 UTC
HOKUSHIN1OBJECT F

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “HOKUSHIN1 ⟷ STARLINK-1913: 6.89 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/47179-69648 (accessed 2026-11-01).