Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›SHIYAN 32-01 ⟷ DEMO8(TENZING)
HighCross-border
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 14 min before the pass.
Closest approach27 Oct 202605:18 UTC
Relative speed8.76 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude386 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed27 Oct05:04 UTC · final forecast

CN SHIYAN 32-01 and US DEMO8(TENZING) were predicted to reach a closest approach of 6.71 km at 2026-10-27 05:18 UTC, at a relative speed of 8.76 km/s. Final forecast, made 14 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 66376
CountryPRC
Launched2025-11-08
COSPAR2025-255A
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 48951
CountryUS
Launched2021-06-30
COSPAR2021-059CA
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 386 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 386 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

2 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · SHIYAN 32-01 ⟷ DEMO8(TENZING)
2026-10-27 05:186.71 km Final forecast8.76 km/s386 kmShown above
2026-10-27 03:459.22 km Final forecast8.73 km/s386 kmView →

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
26 Oct 21:44 UTC6.71 km Forecast27 Oct 05:18 UTC26 Oct 01:23 UTCRe-check
26 Oct 21:24 UTC8.51 km Forecast27 Oct 05:18 UTC26 Oct 01:23 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
3.81 km10-26 13:22 UTC
SHIYAN 32-01TIANYAN 23
4.21 km10-25 09:13 UTC
SHIYAN 32-01CZ-3A R/B
8.09 km10-23 01:46 UTC
YAOGAN-36 02CDEMO8(TENZING)

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

Cite this encounter: Orbital Radar — “SHIYAN 32-01 ⟷ DEMO8(TENZING): 6.71 km predicted close approach”, https://orbitalradar.com/conjunction/48951-66376 (accessed 2026-10-27).