Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›ICEYE-X37 ⟷ COSMOS 2614
HighCross-border
Final forecastFinal forecast, made minutes before the pass.
Closest approach4 Nov 202600:08 UTC
Drift speed113 m/s406 km/h, seen from COSMOS 2614
Altitude545 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed4 Nov00:04 UTC · final forecast

US ICEYE-X37 and RU COSMOS 2614 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 5.28 km at 2026-11-04 00:08 UTC, drifting past at about 113 m/s (406 km/h) as seen from COSMOS 2614. Final forecast, made minutes before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
ICEYE-X37Payload
NORAD 59102
CountryUS
Launched2024-03-04
COSPAR2024-043E
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 68764
CountryCIS
Launched2026-04-16
COSPAR2026-083K
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 545 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 545 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · ICEYE-X37 ⟷ COSMOS 2614
2026-11-04 00:085.28 km Final forecast0.11 km/s545 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
3 Nov 20:29 UTC5.28 km Forecast4 Nov 00:08 UTC3 Nov 15:47 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 09:13 UTC5.53 km Forecast4 Nov 00:08 UTC2 Nov 20:40 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 00:09 UTC5.83 km Forecast4 Nov 00:08 UTC2 Nov 11:06 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.17 km10-29 02:19 UTC
ICEYE-X37PSLV R/B
2.58 km10-30 14:01 UTC
ICEYE-X37STARLINK-5059
3.17 km11-03 00:32 UTC
ICEYE-X37PEGASUS R/B

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →