Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2272 ⟷ COSMOS 1617
HighProximity
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 18 min before the pass.
Closest approach10 Nov 202609:31 UTC
Relative speed14.17 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,413 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed10 Nov09:13 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2272 and RU COSMOS 1617 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 2.48 km at 2026-11-10 09:31 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.17 km/s. Final forecast, made 18 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 23003
CountryCIS
Launched1994-02-12
COSPAR1994-011E
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 15469
CountryCIS
Launched1985-01-15
COSPAR1985-003A
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1413 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1413 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

2 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2272 ⟷ COSMOS 1617
2026-11-10 09:312.48 km Final forecast14.17 km/s1,413 kmShown above
2026-11-10 07:377.29 km Final forecast14.17 km/s1,413 kmView →

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
10 Nov 03:51 UTC2.48 km Forecast10 Nov 09:31 UTC9 Nov 11:49 UTCRe-check
10 Nov 03:31 UTC3.19 km Forecast10 Nov 09:31 UTC9 Nov 11:49 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
2.75 km11-08 09:28 UTC
COSMOS 2247COSMOS 2272
3.53 km11-10 19:13 UTC
COSMOS 2093COSMOS 1617
4.05 km11-06 19:39 UTC
COSMOS 2166COSMOS 1617

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →