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CriticalProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 2016NORAD 19921 · launched Apr 1989Military payload
898mPredicted miss distance
RussiaCOSMOS 1745NORAD 16727 · launched May 1986Military payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 18 min before the pass.
Closest approach9 Nov 202613:32 UTC
Relative speed9.54 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,002 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed9 Nov13:14 UTC · final forecast
Track COSMOS 2016Track COSMOS 1745All approaches
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RU COSMOS 2016 and RU COSMOS 1745 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 898 m at 2026-11-09 13:32 UTC, at a relative speed of 9.54 km/s. Final forecast, made 18 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2016Payload
NORAD 19921
CountryCIS
Launched1989-04-04
OrbitLEO · 951 × 1,010 km
COSPAR1989-028A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
COSMOS 1745Payload
NORAD 16727
CountryCIS
Launched1986-05-23
OrbitLEO · 960 × 1,007 km
COSPAR1986-037A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1002 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1002 km this pass sits inside the most congested band in low Earth orbit, home to the debris left by the 2007 ASAT test and the 2009 collision. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2016 ⟷ COSMOS 1745
2026-11-09 13:32898 m Final forecast9.54 km/s1,002 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
9 Nov 12:15 UTC898 m Forecast9 Nov 13:32 UTC9 Nov 07:08 UTCRe-check
9 Nov 11:54 UTC3.43 km Forecast9 Nov 13:32 UTC9 Nov 07:08 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
884 m11-08 00:47 UTC
COSMOS 2016COSMOS 1275 DEB
4.54 km11-11 17:15 UTC
COSMOS 2016CENTISPACE-1 S11
4.64 km11-05 11:05 UTC
COSMOS 2016PRAETORIAN SDA_607

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →