Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2010 ⟷ COSMOS 684
CriticalProximity
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 17 min before the pass.
Closest approach10 Nov 202616:23 UTC
Relative speed10.85 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,457 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed10 Nov16:06 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2010 and RU COSMOS 684 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 403 m at 2026-11-10 16:23 UTC, at a relative speed of 10.85 km/s. Final forecast, made 17 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 19904
CountryCIS
Launched1989-03-24
COSPAR1989-025C
Maneuver capableUnknown
COSMOS 684Payload
NORAD 7442
CountryCIS
Launched1974-09-19
COSPAR1974-072H
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1457 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1457 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2010 ⟷ COSMOS 684
2026-11-10 16:23403 m Final forecast10.85 km/s1,457 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
10 Nov 14:28 UTC403 m Forecast10 Nov 16:23 UTC10 Nov 04:43 UTCRe-check
10 Nov 09:32 UTC451 m Forecast10 Nov 16:23 UTC9 Nov 19:53 UTCRe-check
9 Nov 22:11 UTC476 m Forecast10 Nov 16:23 UTC9 Nov 12:04 UTCRe-check
9 Nov 21:51 UTC5.44 km Forecast10 Nov 16:23 UTC9 Nov 12:04 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.74 km11-10 12:03 UTC
COSMOS 2010COSMOS 2499 DEB
3.49 km11-08 03:59 UTC
COSMOS 2010SL-14 DEB
4.09 km11-08 08:33 UTC
COSMOS 2010COSMOS 732

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →