Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2257 ⟷ DELTA 1 R/B
HighCross-border
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 9 min before the pass.
Closest approach8 Nov 202603:11 UTC
Relative speed14.14 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,412 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed8 Nov03:01 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2257 and US DELTA 1 R/B were predicted to reach a closest approach of 5.12 km at 2026-11-08 03:11 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.14 km/s. Final forecast, made 9 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 22692
CountryCIS
Launched1993-06-24
COSPAR1993-038F
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 3094
CountryUS
Launched1968-01-11
COSPAR1968-002B
Maneuver capableNo
Spent rocket stage: uncontrolled, tracked by the public catalogue.

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1412 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1412 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2257 ⟷ DELTA 1 R/B
2026-11-08 03:115.12 km Final forecast14.14 km/s1,412 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
7 Nov 20:01 UTC5.12 km Forecast8 Nov 03:11 UTC7 Nov 01:02 UTCRe-check
7 Nov 19:43 UTC7.60 km Forecast8 Nov 03:11 UTC7 Nov 01:02 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
186 m11-10 05:37 UTC
COSMOS 2257GLOBALSTAR M082
3.52 km11-08 00:43 UTC
COSMOS 2257DELTA 1 DEB
5.06 km11-08 02:47 UTC
COSMOS 2257THORAD DELTA 1 DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →