Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2535 ⟷ FENGYUN 1C DEB
HighCross-border
On permanent record
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 17 min before the pass.
Closest approach6 Nov 202611:13 UTC
Relative speed1.66 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude577 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed6 Nov10:56 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2535 and CN FENGYUN 1C DEB were predicted to reach a closest approach of 1.83 km at 2026-11-06 11:13 UTC, at a relative speed of 1.66 km/s. Final forecast, made 17 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 44421
CountryCIS
Launched2019-07-10
COSPAR2019-039A
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 32464
CountryPRC
Launched1999-05-10
COSPAR1999-025DCC
Maneuver capableNo
Uncontrolled debris fragment tracked by the public catalogue. About space debris →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 577 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 577 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2535 ⟷ FENGYUN 1C DEB
2026-11-06 11:131.83 km Final forecast1.66 km/s577 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
6 Nov 09:15 UTC1.83 km Forecast6 Nov 11:13 UTC5 Nov 23:33 UTCRe-check
6 Nov 08:55 UTC1.96 km Forecast6 Nov 11:13 UTC5 Nov 23:33 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
946 m11-05 19:59 UTC
COSMOS 2535YAM-15
2.29 km11-04 06:49 UTC
COSMOS 2535COSMOS 2251 DEB
2.43 km11-06 14:25 UTC
COSMOS 2535OBJECT A

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

✓ Permanent record. This encounter met the notability thresholds and keeps an archived page after the pass.