Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2599 ⟷ DELTA 1 R/B
high · CROSS-BORDER
9.22 kmpredicted miss distance
Not re-confirmedLast confirmed 3 h before the pass. Later screening did not re-confirm it. The most recent pass the screening confirmed up to its time: 4.51 km on 15 Nov 02:22 UTC.
After the passBest estimate, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 9.01 km at 10 Oct 18:19 UTC.
Predicted closest approach
2026-10-10 18:19 UTC
Relative speed
14.10 km/s
Altitude
Last confirmed
10 Oct 15:12 UTC
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RU COSMOS 2599 and US DELTA 1 R/B were predicted to reach a closest approach of 9.22 km at 2026-10-10 18:19 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.10 km/s. Screening last confirmed this pass 3 h before it was due and did not re-confirm it after that, so the figure may have been overtaken by newer orbital data, for example after a maneuver. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 9.01 km at 10 Oct 18:19 UTC. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 66649
CountryCIS
Launched2025-11-25
COSPAR2025-273C
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 3767
CountryUS
Launched1969-02-26
COSPAR1969-016B
Maneuver capableNo
Spent rocket stage: uncontrolled, tracked by the public catalogue.

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1494 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1494 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

2 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2599 ⟷ DELTA 1 R/B
2026-11-15 02:224.51 km Final forecast11.77 km/s1,491 kmView →
2026-10-10 18:199.22 km Not re-confirmed · after: 9.01 km14.10 km/s1,494 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
10 Nov 21:06 UTC9.01 km Best estimate10 Oct 18:19 UTC10 Oct 23:06 UTCBest estimate
10 Oct 15:12 UTC9.22 km Forecast10 Oct 18:19 UTC—Earlier record

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.05 km11-15 15:33 UTC
COSMOS 2599DELTA 1 DEB
3.43 km11-13 14:39 UTC
COSMOS 2599FENGYUN 1C DEB
6.22 km11-08 10:07 UTC
COSMOS 2599SL-14 R/B

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →