Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2486 ⟷ ATLAS F BURNER 2 R/B
HighCross-border
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 6 min before the pass.
Closest approach8 Nov 202611:01 UTC
Relative speed13.29 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude700 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed8 Nov10:55 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2486 and US ATLAS F BURNER 2 R/B were predicted to reach a closest approach of 8.06 km at 2026-11-08 11:01 UTC, at a relative speed of 13.29 km/s. Final forecast, made 6 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 39177
CountryCIS
Launched2013-06-07
COSPAR2013-028A
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 6218
CountryUS
Launched1972-10-02
COSPAR1972-076C
Maneuver capableNo
Spent rocket stage: uncontrolled, tracked by the public catalogue.

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 700 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 700 km this pass sits inside the most congested band in low Earth orbit, home to the debris left by the 2007 ASAT test and the 2009 collision. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

3 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2486 ⟷ ATLAS F BURNER 2 R/B
2026-11-08 11:018.06 km Final forecast13.29 km/s700 kmShown above
2026-11-08 09:239.03 km Final forecast13.29 km/s700 kmView →
2026-11-08 06:544.36 km Final forecast13.27 km/s709 kmView →

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
8 Nov 08:01 UTC8.06 km Forecast8 Nov 11:01 UTC8 Nov 04:05 UTCRe-check
7 Nov 21:01 UTC7.97 km Forecast8 Nov 11:01 UTC7 Nov 06:39 UTCRe-check
7 Nov 20:41 UTC8.21 km Forecast8 Nov 11:01 UTC7 Nov 06:39 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
2.00 km11-05 17:24 UTC
COSMOS 2486NOAA 16 DEB
3.26 km11-05 02:24 UTC
COSMOS 2486NOAA 16 DEB
3.82 km11-10 14:56 UTC
COSMOS 2486FENGYUN 1C DEB

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →