Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2515 ⟷ RISAT 2B
HighProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 2515NORAD 41394 · launched Mar 2016Military payload
2.16kmPredicted miss distance
IndiaRISAT 2BNORAD 44233 · launched May 2019Payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 19 min before the pass.
Closest approach6 Nov 202610:39 UTC
Relative speed11.83 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude552 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed6 Nov10:20 UTC · final forecast
Track COSMOS 2515Track RISAT 2BAll approaches
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RU COSMOS 2515 and IN RISAT 2B were predicted to reach a closest approach of 2.16 km at 2026-11-06 10:39 UTC, at a relative speed of 11.83 km/s. Final forecast, made 19 min before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2515Payload
NORAD 41394
CountryCIS
Launched2016-03-24
OrbitLEO · 525 × 557 km
COSPAR2016-020A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
RISAT 2BPayload
NORAD 44233
CountryIND
Launched2019-05-22
OrbitLEO · 559 × 568 km
COSPAR2019-028A
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 552 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 552 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2515 ⟷ RISAT 2B
2026-11-06 10:392.16 km Final forecast11.83 km/s552 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
6 Nov 08:55 UTC2.16 km Forecast6 Nov 10:39 UTC5 Nov 23:20 UTCRe-check
5 Nov 21:15 UTC2.26 km Forecast6 Nov 10:39 UTC4 Nov 23:27 UTCRe-check
5 Nov 20:55 UTC9.85 km Forecast6 Nov 10:39 UTC4 Nov 23:27 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
450 m11-04 05:36 UTC
COSMOS 2515YAM-8
1.30 km11-04 23:47 UTC
COSMOS 2515MAGNARO-II
1.85 km11-05 13:11 UTC
COSMOS 2515OBJECT G

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →