Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2618 ⟷ STARLINK-1302
HighCross-border
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 17 min before the pass.
Closest approach4 Nov 202610:29 UTC
Relative speed14.91 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude304 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed4 Nov10:12 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2618 and US STARLINK-1302 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 9.62 km at 2026-11-04 10:29 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.91 km/s. Final forecast, made 17 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 68829
CountryCIS
Launched2026-04-23
COSPAR2026-090D
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 45375
CountryUS
Launched2020-03-18
COSPAR2020-019R
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 304 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 304 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2618 ⟷ STARLINK-1302
2026-11-04 10:299.62 km Final forecast14.91 km/s304 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
4 Nov 09:33 UTC9.62 km Forecast4 Nov 10:29 UTC4 Nov 04:00 UTCRe-check
4 Nov 03:44 UTC9.72 km Reinstated4 Nov 10:29 UTC3 Nov 21:57 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 20:29 UTC12.41 km Withdrawn4 Nov 10:29 UTC3 Nov 16:00 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 19:05 UTC9.49 km Forecast4 Nov 10:29 UTC3 Nov 12:29 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 18:45 UTC9.97 km Forecast4 Nov 10:29 UTC3 Nov 12:29 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
3.83 km11-07 05:10 UTC
COSMOS 2618STARLINK-38441
6.53 km11-02 22:13 UTC
COSMOS 2618SCOT-1 (SCOT)
8.96 km11-06 14:04 UTC
COSMOS 2618STARLINK-38441

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →