Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›YAOGAN-36 05C ⟷ BLACKJACK ACES-1
high · CROSS-BORDER
7.62 kmpredicted miss distance
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 13 min before the pass.
Predicted closest approach
2026-10-18 13:36 UTC
Relative speed
8.68 km/s
Altitude
Last confirmed
18 Oct 13:22 UTC
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CN YAOGAN-36 05C and US BLACKJACK ACES-1 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 7.62 km at 2026-10-18 13:36 UTC, at a relative speed of 8.68 km/s. Final forecast, made 13 min before the pass. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 57456
CountryPRC
Launched2023-07-26
COSPAR2023-106E
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 56956
CountryUS
Launched2023-06-12
COSPAR2023-084AA
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 508 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 508 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

3 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · YAOGAN-36 05C ⟷ BLACKJACK ACES-1
2026-11-05 22:379.06 km Live forecast13.90 km/s510 kmView →
2026-11-05 21:491.58 km Live forecast13.89 km/s513 kmView →
2026-10-18 13:367.62 km Final forecast8.68 km/s508 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
505 m11-02 19:53 UTC
YAOGAN-36 05CZ-SAT
809 m11-02 20:02 UTC
YAOGAN-36 05COBJECT AA
2.18 km11-02 21:37 UTC
YAOGAN-36 05COBJECT AA

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →