Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2192 ⟷ COSMOS 2488
HighProximity
Final forecastFinal forecast, made minutes before the pass.
Closest approach12 Nov 202608:03 UTC
Relative speed11.91 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,472 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed12 Nov07:58 UTC · final forecast

RU COSMOS 2192 and RU COSMOS 2488 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 3.07 km at 2026-11-12 08:03 UTC, at a relative speed of 11.91 km/s. Final forecast, made minutes before the pass. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
NORAD 21981
CountryCIS
Launched1992-06-03
COSPAR1992-030F
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 39483
CountryCIS
Launched2013-12-25
COSPAR2013-076A
Maneuver capableUnknown

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1472 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1472 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2192 ⟷ COSMOS 2488
2026-11-12 08:033.07 km Final forecast11.91 km/s1,472 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
11 Nov 22:18 UTC3.07 km Forecast12 Nov 08:03 UTC11 Nov 16:00 UTCRe-check
11 Nov 11:37 UTC3.20 km Forecast12 Nov 08:03 UTC11 Nov 06:20 UTCRe-check
11 Nov 11:19 UTC4.01 km Forecast12 Nov 08:03 UTC11 Nov 06:20 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
1.11 km11-07 17:38 UTC
COSMOS 2192GONETS M 15 (M25)
3.22 km11-08 18:20 UTC
COSMOS 2192SL-14 DEB
3.49 km11-11 22:30 UTC
COSMOS 2192COSMOS 1292

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →