Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›COSMOS 2192 ⟷ GONETS M 15 (M25)
HighProximity
RussiaCOSMOS 2192NORAD 21981 · launched Jun 1992Military payload
1.11kmPredicted miss distance
RussiaGONETS M 15 (M25)NORAD 44906 · launched Dec 2019Payload
Final forecastFinal forecast, made 7 min before the pass.
After the passBest estimate, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 1.11 km at 7 Nov 17:38 UTC.
Closest approach7 Nov 202617:38 UTC
Relative speed13.65 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,490 kmlow Earth orbit
Last confirmed7 Nov17:31 UTC · final forecast
Track COSMOS 2192Track GONETS M 15 (M25)All approaches
Share

RU COSMOS 2192 and RU GONETS M 15 (M25) were predicted to reach a closest approach of 1.11 km at 2026-11-07 17:38 UTC, at a relative speed of 13.65 km/s. Final forecast, made 7 min before the pass. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 1.11 km at 7 Nov 17:38 UTC. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
COSMOS 2192Payload
NORAD 21981
CountryCIS
Launched1992-06-03
OrbitLEO · 1,472 × 1,485 km
COSPAR1992-030F
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →
GONETS M 15 (M25)Payload
NORAD 44906
CountryCIS
Launched2019-12-26
OrbitLEO · 1,483 × 1,506 km
COSPAR2019-096B
Maneuver capableUnknown
Profile →Globe →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1490 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1490 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · COSMOS 2192 ⟷ GONETS M 15 (M25)
2026-11-07 17:381.11 km Final forecast · after: 1.11 km13.65 km/s1,490 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
12 Nov 01:38 UTC1.11 km Best estimate7 Nov 17:38 UTC7 Nov 23:43 UTCBest estimate
7 Nov 12:51 UTC1.11 km Forecast7 Nov 17:38 UTC7 Nov 06:46 UTCRe-check
7 Nov 09:18 UTC1.10 km Forecast7 Nov 17:38 UTC6 Nov 23:03 UTCRe-check
6 Nov 22:14 UTC1.11 km Forecast7 Nov 17:38 UTC6 Nov 19:11 UTCRe-check
6 Nov 18:10 UTC1.08 km Forecast7 Nov 17:38 UTC5 Nov 21:56 UTCRe-check
6 Nov 17:50 UTC1.91 km Forecast7 Nov 17:38 UTC5 Nov 21:56 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
3.07 km11-12 08:03 UTC
COSMOS 2192COSMOS 2488
3.22 km11-08 18:20 UTC
COSMOS 2192SL-14 DEB
3.49 km11-11 22:30 UTC
COSMOS 2192COSMOS 1292

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →