CNYAOGAN 12 and USSTARLINK-36936 were predicted to reach a closest approach of 6.67 km at 2026-11-03 21:19 UTC, at a relative speed of 14.12 km/s. Final forecast, made minutes before the pass. Best estimate after the pass, from the orbit data published nearest its time: 6.78 km at 3 Nov 21:19 UTC. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.
Why it mattersBoth objects are catalogued as payloads. Screening continues as new element sets arrive; operators act on their own conjunction data.
At 488 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →
History Between This Pair
4 predicted passes under 10 km
Pair history · YAOGAN 12 ⟷ STARLINK-36936
2026-11-11 18:387.87 km Withdrawn12.18 km/s477 kmView →
2026-11-11 17:043.07 km Live forecast12.20 km/s477 kmView →
2026-11-11 14:426.02 km Withdrawn12.21 km/s488 kmView →
2026-11-03 21:196.67 km Final forecast · after: 6.78 km14.12 km/s488 kmShown above
Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.
Forecast Record
Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
7 Nov 08:34 UTC6.78 km Best estimate3 Nov 21:19 UTC3 Nov 22:29 UTCBest estimate
3 Nov 20:29 UTC6.67 km Forecast3 Nov 21:19 UTC3 Nov 15:10 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 17:07 UTC6.75 km Forecast3 Nov 21:19 UTC3 Nov 13:51 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 09:13 UTC6.17 km Forecast3 Nov 21:19 UTC3 Nov 03:59 UTCRe-check
3 Nov 04:49 UTC7.61 km Forecast3 Nov 21:19 UTC3 Nov 00:01 UTCRe-check
2 Nov 22:30 UTC5.98 km Forecast3 Nov 21:19 UTC2 Nov 18:06 UTCRe-check
2 Nov 22:19 UTC6.22 km Forecast3 Nov 21:19 UTC2 Nov 18:06 UTCScreen
Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? →How conjunction assessment works →
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