Home›Maneuver Tracker›Close Approaches›YAOGAN 25B ⟷ DELTA 1 DEB
HighCross-border
On permanent record
Live forecastConfirmed by the latest screening, 10 Nov 14:48 UTC.
Closest approach11 Nov 202605:35 UTC
Relative speed8.28 km/sat the closest approach
Altitude1,156 kmlow Earth orbit
Separation now—live

CN YAOGAN 25B and US DELTA 1 DEB are predicted to reach a closest approach of 2.63 km at 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC, at a relative speed of 8.28 km/s. Confirmed by the latest screening, 10 Nov 14:48 UTC. This is a cross-border encounter between objects of different nations, the kind of event closely watched for space-security implications. Miss distance and time of closest approach are computed by propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects, and each pass is re-checked every 20 minutes as new element sets are published. See the Satellite Maneuver Tracker for the live picture and space situational awareness for context.

Why it mattersOne side of this pass cannot maneuver, so any avoidance decision rests with the other operator. Screening continues as new element sets arrive.

The Two Objects

Dossiers from the satellite directory
YAOGAN 25BPayload
NORAD 40339
CountryPRC
Launched2014-12-10
COSPAR2014-080B
Maneuver capableUnknown
NORAD 9701
CountryUS
Launched1973-11-06
COSPAR1973-086FZ
Maneuver capableNo
Uncontrolled debris fragment tracked by the public catalogue. About space debris →

Where This Happens

Altitude context
DEBRIS BELT 700–1000 KM2006001,0001,5002,000 kmTHIS PASS · 1156 KMISS 420Starlink 550

At 1156 km this pass sits in low Earth orbit. Objects here stay up for decades: there is too little atmospheric drag to clean the band naturally. Why crowded bands matter →

History Between This Pair

1 predicted pass under 10 km
Pair history · YAOGAN 25B ⟷ DELTA 1 DEB
2026-11-11 05:352.63 km Live forecast8.28 km/s1,156 kmShown above

Repeat encounters are common for objects in near-intersecting orbital planes. Each pass is re-screened as fresh element sets arrive; "Final forecast" means the screening still predicted it within 45 minutes of its time, "Not re-confirmed" means later screening stopped finding it.

Forecast Record

Every figure published for the pass shown above, newest first. Nothing is overwritten: a withdrawn forecast keeps its figure, with the newer check beside it, and the best estimate after the pass is a row of its own.
Computed · figure · predicted time · orbit data · by
10 Nov 14:28 UTC2.63 km Forecast11 Nov 05:35 UTC10 Nov 07:38 UTCRe-check
10 Nov 09:32 UTC3.17 km Forecast11 Nov 05:35 UTC9 Nov 22:43 UTCRe-check
10 Nov 06:11 UTC1.98 km Forecast11 Nov 05:35 UTC9 Nov 15:35 UTCRe-check
10 Nov 05:51 UTC6.19 km Forecast11 Nov 05:35 UTC9 Nov 15:35 UTCScreen

These Objects Elsewhere

Other screened approaches · 7 days
3.24 km11-10 06:15 UTC
YAOGAN 25BCZ-4C R/B
6.84 km11-06 06:21 UTC
YAOGAN-31 ADELTA 1 DEB
8.53 km11-08 15:55 UTC
YAOGAN 25BONEWEB-0250

How These Numbers Are Computed

Miss distance and TCA come from propagating the latest published orbital elements for both objects and searching for the minimum separation over the screening window. Element sets carry kilometre-scale uncertainty, so figures here describe a close pass, not a collision prediction; a change in either object's published elements re-computes the pass automatically. What is a conjunction? → How conjunction assessment works →

✓ Permanent record. This encounter met the notability thresholds and keeps an archived page after the pass.